Will the fictional “Aurora Fusion Initiative” demonstrate net‑positive ignition by Dec 31?

YES shares settle $1.00 if true / $0 if false · NO implied = 100¢ − YES
50.0¢ YES
bid 48.7 / ask 51.3  ·  spread 2.6¢

Virtual Specialist

YES inventory0
NO inventory0
Cash$0.00
Mark‑to‑market P&L$0.00
Quoted spread2.5¢

Recent Fills

YES price (¢) — last 60s

0¢100¢

Specialist net YES inventory (imbalance absorbed)

Your Order

Your Position

Net shares0
Avg cost—
Unrealized P&L$0.00
Realized P&L$0.00
Total P&L$0.00
Filed in 1996 for a play‑money Hollywood Stock Exchange because real‑money prediction markets were legally and culturally unthinkable at the time — this same inventory‑absorbing market‑making mechanism now runs the order books behind Polymarket‑ and Kalshi‑style markets and stands as a direct conceptual ancestor of today's automated market makers (AMMs); the patent expired in 2016.